Updated: 7:30 AM 7 November (Sydney Time)
7 November - 7:30 AM
Election day is finally upon us and now with only a few hours until the first polls close we have the final polling situation of the campaign. The final national polls are pointing to a photo finish in the popular vote, with Obama narrowly ahead in the average by 0.4 points. Here are the top line figures:
No Partisan Leaning
- Politico/GWU/Battleground: 47-47 Tie
- UPI/CVoter: 49-48 Obama
- IBID/TIPP: 50-49 Obama
- Ipsos/Reuters: 48-46 Obama
Republican Leaning Pollsters
- Rasmussen: 49-48 Romney
- JZ Analytics/Newsmax: 47-47 Tie
- Gravis: 48 -48 tie
As for the swing states polling, last minute polls have not changed the 303-235 Obama electoral college vote indicated by the 7 day poll average.
States with last minute moves in the poll average include Virginia where Obama’s margin has dropped from 2.1 points to 1.4 points, while in Wisconsin the Obama lead has risen from 3.4 points to 4.6 points. The former is very much in play for Romney, while the latter is now pretty much out of reach for the Republican candidate
We’ll be back with some final thoughts on the US election shortly. In the meantime check out our guides for the swing state voting patterns, which are listed here.